Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
+89%
In sync
of periods
—
History
monthsmonths · through 2024-01
18
These move together
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~79% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
N/A
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+89%
Based on values
95% CI
+72% → +96%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
243
51
Normalized
243
51
Prepared
243
51
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
78.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: 0 to 0 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+89%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
18 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+89%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+89%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
258
A: 225 / B: 33
Series A
Avg Hourly Earnings
CES0500000003
FRED · 243 raw → 243 prepared
Series B
Real Median Personal Income in the United States
MEPAINUSA672N
FRED · 51 raw → 51 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
692.2734
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
21725.3791
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-ces0500000003_fred-mepainusa672n_monthly_5y