SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+99%
In sync
of periods
99%
History
daysdays · through 2026-01-01
80
These move in the same direction about 99% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~98% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
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Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
98.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+99%
Based on values
95% CI
+99% → +99%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
80 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
241
352
Normalized
241
352
Prepared
241
352
Aligned
80
80
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
98.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
80
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+99%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
80 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+99%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+99%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+46%
78 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
433
A: 161 / B: 272
Series A
Avg Hourly Earnings
CES0500000003
FRED · 241 raw → 241 prepared
Series B
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
458.2154
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
7275.2178
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-ces0500000003_fred-gdppot_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.