SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+100%
In sync
of periods
91%
History
daysdays · through 2026-01-01
80
These move in the same direction about 91% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~99% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
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Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
91.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+100%
Based on values
95% CI
+99% → +100%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
80 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
241
317
Normalized
241
317
Prepared
241
317
Aligned
80
80
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
99.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
80
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+100%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
80 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+100%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+100%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+77%
72 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-80%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
398
A: 161 / B: 237
Series A
Avg Hourly Earnings
CES0500000003
FRED · 241 raw → 241 prepared
Series B
Gross Domestic Product: Implicit Price Deflator
GDPDEF
FRED · 317 raw → 317 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
2.7735
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
27.6579
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-ces0500000003_fred-gdpdef_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.