SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-4%
of values
In sync
48%
of periods
History
2,768
weeks · through 2026-16
These move opposite each other about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes barely line up — almost no shared pattern.
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-4%
Based on values
95% CI
-7% → +0%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,768 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
3,094
13,010
Normalized
3,094
13,010
Prepared
3,094
2,769
Aligned
2,768
2,768
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
0.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
2,768
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-4%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,768 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-4%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-4%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+21%
94 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+15%
31 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-14%
124 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
327
A: 326 / B: 1
Series A
Continued Jobless Claims
CCSA
FRED · 3,094 raw → 3,094 prepared
Series B
USD/LKR Exchange Rate
DEXSLUS
FRED · 13,010 raw → 2,769 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
36
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
98.7454
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-ccsa_fred-dexslus_5y