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Correlation
of values
-11%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-19
2,886
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-11%
Based on values
95% CI
-14% → -7%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
2,886 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
3,097
13,879
Normalized
3,097
13,879
Prepared
3,097
2,887
Aligned
2,886
2,886
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
1.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
2,886
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-11%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
2,886 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-11%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-11%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
212
A: 211 / B: 1
Series A
Continued Jobless Claims
CCSA
FRED · 3,097 raw → 3,097 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,879 raw → 2,887 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
46
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
169.7945
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-ccsa_fred-dexjpus_weekly_5y