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Correlation
of % moves
+38%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-08
67
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~14% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
65.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+38%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+15% → +57%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
67 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
100
2,513
Normalized
100
2,513
Prepared
100
2,513
Aligned
67
67
Invalid removed
R²(i)
14.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
67
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+38%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
66 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+38%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-22%
25 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+49%
18 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-36%
23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,479
A: 33 / B: 2446
Series A
BNB
BNB
Crypto · 100 raw → 100 prepared
Series B
S&P 500
SP500
FRED · 2,513 raw → 2,513 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1488
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0013
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-bnb_fred-sp500_daily_5y