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Correlation
of % moves
-15%
In sync
of periods
35%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-33
24
These move in the same direction about 35% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
BNB moves ~2 weeks before 15Y Mortgage Rate
Watch BNB for an early read on 15Y Mortgage Rate.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
35%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-15%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-53% → +28%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
169
1,825
Normalized
169
1,825
Prepared
25
1,825
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
+2 weeks
Correlation at this shift
+54%
+38% stronger than no-shift baseline
15Y Mortgage Rate shifted 2 weeks earlier. Reads: "Does BNB today line up with 15Y Mortgage Rate 2 weeks from now?"
21 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-15%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 weeks
+54%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+19%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-69%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,802
A: 1 / B: 1801
Series A
BNB
BNB
Crypto · 169 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
15Y Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE15US
FRED · 1,825 raw → 1,825 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0640
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0039
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: crypto-bnb_fred-mortgage15us_weekly_5y