SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 66% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 451.6B · 39,800 employees
Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airlines, rental cars, restaurants, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates several branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, Rentalcars.com, and Kayak. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.
Market cap 138.1B · 24,300 employees
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+88%) is running 1.3σ away from the long-run average of +98%.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+25%) and fall (+44%) — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
Correlation barely moves across time windows — treat this as a reliable relationship.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+98%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+98%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+98% → +98%
Likely range
R²
96.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
66.3%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+25%
114 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+44%
90 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-40%
45 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 451.6B · 39,800 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock
BKNG
Market cap 138.1B · 24,300 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5580
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-105.7210
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 1 hour ago · ID: stock-bkng_stock-ma_5y
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Strongest positive