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Correlation
of % moves
+41%
In sync
of periods
63%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-09
667
These move in the same direction about 63% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~17% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
63%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+34% → +47%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
667 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
667
1,253
Normalized
667
1,253
Prepared
667
1,253
Aligned
667
667
Invalid removed
R²(i)
17%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
666
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+41%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
666 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+12%
107 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+25%
80 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-54%
56 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
586
A: 0 / B: 586
Series A
BITB
Stock · 667 raw → 667 prepared
Series B
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY
Stock · 1,253 raw → 1,253 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1299
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0006
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: stock-bitb-vs-stock-spy-daily