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Bunge Global SA (BG) vs Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate
Correlation
of % moves
+31%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
59
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~9% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate moves ~11 months before BG
Watch Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate for an early read on BG.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+5% → +52%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
967
Normalized
1,254
967
Prepared
61
967
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
R²(i)
9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
-39%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does Bunge Global SA (BG) today line up with Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate 11 months ago?"
47 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
-39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-24%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+24%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-71%
26 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
910
A: 2 / B: 908
Series A
Bunge Global SA (BG)
BG
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Spot Crude Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate
WTISPLC
FRED · 967 raw → 967 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3965
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0006
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-wtisplc_stock-bg_monthly_5y