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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) vs Housing Starts
Correlation
of % moves
-35%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Housing Starts moves ~1 month before BCH
Watch Housing Starts for an early read on BCH.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-67% → +9%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
811
Normalized
730
811
Prepared
25
811
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
R²(i)
12%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-1 month
Correlation at this shift
+45%
+10% stronger than no-shift baseline
Housing Starts shifted 1 month later. Reads: "Does Bitcoin Cash (BCH) today line up with Housing Starts 1 month ago?"
21 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-1 month
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+67%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-19%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-84%
10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
790
A: 2 / B: 788
Series A
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
BCH
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Housing Starts
HOUST
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
10
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1728
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0073
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-bch_fred-houst_monthly_5y