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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-30%
In sync
of periods
33%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-02
22
These move opposite each other about 33% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~9% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
BCH moves ~1 month before Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Watch BCH for an early read on Case-Shiller Home Price Index.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
33.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-30%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-65% → +16%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
22 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
470
Normalized
730
470
Prepared
25
470
Aligned
22
22
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
8.8%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -11 to 11 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
-45%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does Bitcoin Cash (BCH) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 1 month from now?"
20 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-30%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
-45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-70%
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
451
A: 3 / B: 448
Series A
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
BCH
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 470 raw → 470 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0074
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0006
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-bch_fred-csushpinsa_monthly_5y