SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+69%
of values
In sync
71%
of periods
History
786
days · through 2026-04-30
These move in the same direction about 71% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~47% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
71.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+69%
Based on values
95% CI
+65% → +72%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
786 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
786
1,741
Normalized
786
1,741
Prepared
786
1,741
Aligned
786
786
Invalid removed
Explore
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
47.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
786
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+69%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
786 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+69%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+69%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-5%
244 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
955
A: 0 / B: 955
Series A
ICE BofA US High Yield Index Effective Yield
BAMLH0A0HYM2EY
FRED · 786 raw → 786 prepared
Series B
Interest on Reserve Balances
IORB
FRED · 1,741 raw → 1,741 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6102
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.2289
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-bamlh0a0hym2ey_fred-iorb_5y
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.