SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+83%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-30
748
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~69% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
47.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+83%
Based on values
95% CI
+81% → +85%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
748 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
786
3,233
Normalized
786
3,233
Prepared
786
3,233
Aligned
748
748
Invalid removed
R²(i)
69.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
748
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+83%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
748 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+83%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+83%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+7%
51 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+9%
81 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
117 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,523
A: 38 / B: 2485
Series A
HY Bond Spread
BAMLH0A0HYM2
FRED · 786 raw → 786 prepared
Series B
Overnight Reverse Repo
RRPONTSYD
FRED · 3,233 raw → 3,233 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
976.9198
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-2718.5481
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-bamlh0a0hym2_fred-rrpontsyd_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.