Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
-53%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
745
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~28% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-53%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
745 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
785
13,409
Normalized
785
13,409
Prepared
785
13,409
Aligned
745
745
Invalid removed
28%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
745
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-53%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
745 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-53%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-53%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-9%
74 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+15%
68 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-36%
94 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12,704
A: 40 / B: 12664
Series A
HY Bond Spread
BAMLH0A0HYM2
FRED · 785 raw → 785 prepared
Series B
USD/INR Exchange Rate
DEXINUS
FRED · 13,409 raw → 13,409 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-4.4270
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
100.4852
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-bamlh0a0hym2_fred-dexinus_daily_5y