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Correlation
of values
+32%
In sync
of periods
56%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-24
744
These move in the same direction about 56% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+32%
Based on values
95% CI
+25% → +38%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
744 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
787
13,931
Normalized
787
13,931
Prepared
787
13,931
Aligned
744
744
Invalid removed
R²(i)
10%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
744
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+32%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
744 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+32%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+20%
75 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+42%
83 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-49%
75 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
13,230
A: 43 / B: 13187
Series A
HY Bond Spread
BAMLH0A0HYM2
FRED · 787 raw → 787 prepared
Series B
USD/DKK Exchange Rate
DEXDNUS
FRED · 13,931 raw → 13,931 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
39
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1951
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
6.0959
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-bamlh0a0hym2_fred-dexdnus_daily_5y