Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of values
+58%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-02
744
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~34% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+58%
Based on values
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
744 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
784
11,416
Normalized
784
11,416
Prepared
784
11,416
Aligned
744
744
Invalid removed
34%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
744
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+58%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
744 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+58%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+58%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+31%
52 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+21%
67 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
120 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
10,712
A: 40 / B: 10672
Series A
IG Bond Spread
BAMLC0A0CM
FRED · 784 raw → 784 prepared
Series B
USD/SGD Exchange Rate
DEXSIUS
FRED · 11,416 raw → 11,416 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
25
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1181
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.2092
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-bamlc0a0cm_fred-dexsius_daily_5y