These move opposite each other about 78% of the time
Near-zero inverse
Weak relationship — not much actionable signal here beyond directional colour.
Avalanche
AVAX
Smart Contract · USD pair
XRP
XRP
Layer 1 · USD pair
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (+99%) is 3.3σ from the long-run average of -1% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
XRP moves ~6 days before AVAX
Watch XRP for an early read on AVAX.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+47%) and fall (+47%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-6 days
Correlation at this shift
-6%
+5% stronger than no-shift baseline
XRP shifted 6 days later. Reads: "Does Avalanche today line up with XRP 6 days ago?"
724 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with XRP shifted 6 days later
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-1%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-8% → +7%
Likely range
R²
0.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
78.3%
Same-direction moves
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
730
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
730 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
730
Normalized
730
730
Prepared
730
730
Aligned
730
730
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+47%
100 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+47%
113 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-28%
36 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Avalanche
AVAX
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
XRP
XRP
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
33
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0006
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.7909
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto:avax|crypto:xrp|5Y