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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs Bank Reserves
Correlation
of % moves
-34%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
28
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
ATCH moves ~6 months before Bank Reserves
Watch ATCH for an early read on Bank Reserves.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-34%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
28 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
603
809
Normalized
603
809
Prepared
30
809
Aligned
28
28
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
12%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
27
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -17 to 17 months.
Selected shift
+6 months
Correlation at this shift
+51%
+17% stronger than no-shift baseline
Bank Reserves shifted 6 months earlier. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with Bank Reserves 6 months from now?"
21 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 months
+51%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-15%
13 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-4%
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
783
A: 2 / B: 781
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 603 raw → 30 prepared
Series B
Bank Reserves
TOTRESNS
FRED · 809 raw → 809 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0183
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0100
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-totresns_stock-atch_monthly_5y