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Correlation
of % moves
+12%
In sync
of periods
54%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-07
601
These move in the same direction about 54% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
601 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
603
2,512
Normalized
603
2,512
Prepared
603
2,512
Aligned
601
601
Invalid removed
2%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
600
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+12%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
600 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+12%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+2%
74 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-8%
82 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-22%
92 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,913
A: 2 / B: 1911
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 603 raw → 603 prepared
Series B
S&P 500
SP500
FRED · 2,512 raw → 2,512 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0099
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0008
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-sp500_stock-atch_daily_5y