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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs PPI: All Commodities
Correlation
of % moves
+20%
In sync
of periods
38%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
27
These move in the same direction about 38% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
ATCH moves ~7 months before PPI: All Commodities
Watch ATCH for an early read on PPI: All Commodities.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
38.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+20%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-21% → +54%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
27 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
572
1,360
Normalized
572
1,360
Prepared
28
1,360
Aligned
27
27
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
3.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
27
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -16 to 16 months.
Selected shift
+7 months
Correlation at this shift
+75%
+55% stronger than no-shift baseline
PPI: All Commodities shifted 7 months earlier. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with PPI: All Commodities 7 months from now?"
19 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+7 months
+75%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+38%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+22%
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,334
A: 1 / B: 1333
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 572 raw → 28 prepared
Series B
PPI: All Commodities
PPIACO
FRED · 1,360 raw → 1,360 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0042
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0052
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-ppiaco_stock-atch_monthly_5y