Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs 30Y Mortgage Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-12%
In sync
of periods
45%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-27
125
These move in the same direction about 45% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
30Y Mortgage Rate moves ~11 weeks before ATCH
Watch 30Y Mortgage Rate for an early read on ATCH.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
125 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
603
2,884
Normalized
603
2,884
Prepared
126
2,884
Aligned
125
125
Invalid removed
2%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
124
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
-11 weeks
Correlation at this shift
-20%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
30Y Mortgage Rate shifted 11 weeks later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with 30Y Mortgage Rate 11 weeks ago?"
113 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 weeks
-20%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+40%
42 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-21%
69 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,760
A: 1 / B: 2759
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 603 raw → 126 prepared
Series B
30Y Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE30US
FRED · 2,884 raw → 2,884 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0066
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0008
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-mortgage30us_stock-atch_weekly_5y