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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs M2 Money Supply
Correlation
of % moves
+14%
In sync
of periods
21%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
30
These move in the same direction about 21% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
M2 Money Supply moves ~10 months before ATCH
Watch M2 Money Supply for an early read on ATCH.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
21%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+14%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-24% → +48%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
650
811
Normalized
650
811
Prepared
32
811
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
29
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-10 months
Correlation at this shift
+71%
+57% stronger than no-shift baseline
M2 Money Supply shifted 10 months later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with M2 Money Supply 10 months ago?"
19 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+14%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-10 months
+71%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-62%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+22%
23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
783
A: 2 / B: 781
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 650 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
M2 Money Supply
M2SL
FRED · 811 raw → 811 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0007
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0038
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-m2sl_stock-atch_monthly_5y