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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs M2 Money Supply
Correlation
of % moves
+13%
In sync
of periods
23%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
27
These move in the same direction about 23% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
M2 Money Supply moves ~10 months before ATCH
Watch M2 Money Supply for an early read on ATCH.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
23.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+13%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-27% → +49%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
27 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
585
808
Normalized
585
808
Prepared
29
808
Aligned
27
27
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
1.6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
27
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -16 to 16 months.
Selected shift
-10 months
Correlation at this shift
+73%
+60% stronger than no-shift baseline
M2 Money Supply shifted 10 months later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with M2 Money Supply 10 months ago?"
16 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+13%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-10 months
+73%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-62%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+22%
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
783
A: 2 / B: 781
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 585 raw → 29 prepared
Series B
M2 Money Supply
M2SL
FRED · 808 raw → 808 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0005
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0034
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-m2sl_stock-atch_monthly_5y