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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-31%
In sync
of periods
39%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
29
These move in the same direction about 39% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Case-Shiller Home Price Index moves ~11 months before ATCH
Watch Case-Shiller Home Price Index for an early read on ATCH.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
39%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-61% → +7%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
29 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
647
474
Normalized
647
474
Prepared
32
474
Aligned
29
29
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
10%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
28
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
-63%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 11 months ago?"
17 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
-63%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+3%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-52%
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
448
A: 3 / B: 445
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 647 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 474 raw → 474 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0035
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0018
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-atch_monthly_5y