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AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-44%
In sync
of periods
42%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-02
25
These move opposite each other about 42% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~20% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Case-Shiller Home Price Index moves ~12 months before ATCH
Watch Case-Shiller Home Price Index for an early read on ATCH.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-44%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-72% → -5%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
25 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
572
470
Normalized
572
470
Prepared
28
470
Aligned
25
25
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
19.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
25
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -14 to 14 months.
Selected shift
-12 months
Correlation at this shift
-72%
+28% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 12 months later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 12 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-12 months
-72%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-10%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-59%
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
448
A: 3 / B: 445
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 572 raw → 28 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 470 raw → 470 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0048
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-atch_monthly_5y