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Correlation
of % moves
+25%
In sync
of periods
16%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
26
These move in the same direction about 16% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~6% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
US CPI moves ~8 months before ATCH
Watch US CPI for an early read on ATCH.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
16.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+25%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-16% → +59%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
26 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
572
951
Normalized
572
951
Prepared
28
951
Aligned
26
26
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
6.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
26
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -15 to 15 months.
Selected shift
-8 months
Correlation at this shift
+57%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
US CPI shifted 8 months later. Reads: "Does AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH) today line up with US CPI 8 months ago?"
17 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+25%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-8 months
+57%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-15%
21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
927
A: 2 / B: 925
Series A
AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. (ATCH)
ATCH
Stock · 572 raw → 28 prepared
Series B
US CPI
CPIAUCSL
FRED · 951 raw → 951 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0010
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0029
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpiaucsl_stock-atch_monthly_5y