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ASTS vs FUS Core CPIAST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
-34%
In sync
of periods
41%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
58
These move in the same direction about 41% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~11% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
US Core CPI moves ~12 months before ASTS
Watch US Core CPI for an early read on ASTS.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-34%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-55% → -8%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,255
831
Normalized
1,255
831
Prepared
61
831
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
11.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-12 months
Correlation at this shift
-45%
+11% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Core CPI shifted 12 months later. Reads: "Does AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS) today line up with US Core CPI 12 months ago?"
39 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-12 months
-45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-10%
23 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+13%
33 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
776
A: 3 / B: 773
Series A
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS)
ASTS
Stock · 1,255 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 831 raw → 831 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
2
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0018
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0034
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-asts_monthly_5y