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Aptos (APT) vs Industrial Production
Correlation
of % moves
-40%
In sync
of periods
36%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 36% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Industrial Production moves ~12 months before APT
Watch Industrial Production for an early read on APT.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
36%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-70% → +3%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
1,291
Normalized
730
1,291
Prepared
25
1,291
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-12 months
Correlation at this shift
-76%
+36% stronger than no-shift baseline
Industrial Production shifted 12 months later. Reads: "Does Aptos (APT) today line up with Industrial Production 12 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-12 months
-76%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+12%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-74%
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,270
A: 2 / B: 1268
Series A
Aptos (APT)
APT
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Industrial Production
INDPRO
FRED · 1,291 raw → 1,291 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0086
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-apt_fred-indpro_monthly_5y