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Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) vs St. Louis Financial Stress Index
Correlation
of % moves
-57%
In sync
of periods
34%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-35
260
These move in the same direction about 34% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~32% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
34%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-57%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-65% → -48%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
260 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,253
1,705
Normalized
1,253
1,705
Prepared
262
1,705
Aligned
260
260
Invalid removed
R²(i)
32%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
259
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-57%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
259 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-57%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-57%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+4%
51 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-26%
32 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-70%
156 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,447
A: 2 / B: 1445
Series A
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP)
AMP
Stock · 1,253 raw → 262 prepared
Series B
St. Louis Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4
FRED · 1,705 raw → 1,705 prepared
Sign agreement
9.2%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-4.0947
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0111
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-stlfsi4_stock-amp_weekly_5y