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Correlation
of % moves
+45%
In sync
of periods
66%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-08
556
These move in the same direction about 66% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+38% → +51%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
556 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
559
2,513
Normalized
559
2,513
Prepared
559
2,513
Aligned
556
556
Invalid removed
R²(i)
20.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
556
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+45%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
555 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+9%
107 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+15%
78 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-48%
63 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,960
A: 3 / B: 1957
Series A
Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock (ALAB)
ALAB
Stock · 559 raw → 559 prepared
Series B
S&P 500
SP500
FRED · 2,513 raw → 2,513 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0781
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0004
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-sp500_stock-alab_daily_5y