SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 81% of the time
Moderate positive
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Cardano
ADA
Smart Contract · USD pair
Filecoin
FIL
Storage · USD pair
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (+96%) is 2.9σ from the long-run average of +42% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+65%) than when both rise (+42%) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
Correlation drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+42%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
730 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Filecoin at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+42%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+35% → +47%
Likely range
R²
17.4%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
81.3%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
730
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
730 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
730
Normalized
730
730
Prepared
730
730
Aligned
730
730
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
ADA
Cardano
Strongest inverse
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+42%
112 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+65%
117 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Cardano
ADA
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
Filecoin
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
2.6814
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1.5128
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto:ada|crypto:fil|5Y