Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock (ABVE) vs Retail Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-45%
In sync
of periods
36%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 36% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~21% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Retail Sales moves ~7 months before ABVE
Watch Retail Sales for an early read on ABVE.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
36%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
481
413
Normalized
481
413
Prepared
24
413
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
21%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-7 months
Correlation at this shift
+56%
+11% stronger than no-shift baseline
Retail Sales shifted 7 months later. Reads: "Does Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock (ABVE) today line up with Retail Sales 7 months ago?"
15 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-7 months
+56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
391
A: 1 / B: 390
Series A
Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock (ABVE)
ABVE
Stock · 481 raw → 24 prepared
Series B
Retail Sales
RSAFS
FRED · 413 raw → 413 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0084
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0035
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-rsafs_stock-abve_monthly_5y