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Correlation
of % moves
-54%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
19
These move opposite each other about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~29% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
ABBV moves ~6 months before Real GDP
Watch ABBV for an early read on Real GDP.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-54%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-81% → -10%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
19 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
317
Normalized
1,254
317
Prepared
61
317
Aligned
19
19
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
29.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
19
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
+6 months
Correlation at this shift
+72%
+17% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real GDP shifted 6 months earlier. Reads: "Does ABBVIE INC. (ABBV) today line up with Real GDP 6 months from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-54%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 months
+72%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-85%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-76%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
340
A: 42 / B: 298
Series A
ABBVIE INC. (ABBV)
ABBV
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Real GDP
GDPC1
FRED · 317 raw → 317 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0265
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0071
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-gdpc1_stock-abbv_monthly_5y