SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move opposite each other about 57% of the time
Moderate inverse
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a major
Market cap 3.9T · 166,000 employees
Filecoin
FIL
Storage · USD pair
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+40%) is running 1.6σ away from the long-run average of -52%.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+27%) than when both rise (+2%) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-52%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
501 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Filecoin at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-52%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-58% → -45%
Likely range
R²
26.9%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
57.0%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
501
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
501 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
730
Normalized
1,255
730
Prepared
1,255
730
Aligned
501
501
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+2%
77 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+27%
75 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
97 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
983
A: 754 / B: 229
Series A
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Market cap 3.9T · 166,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Filecoin
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0315
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
10.3888
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: crypto:fil|stock:aapl|5Y