SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+99%
In sync
of periods
88%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
591
These move in the same direction about 88% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~99% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
87.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+99%
Based on values
95% CI
+99% → +99%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
591 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
12,297
1,288
Normalized
12,297
1,288
Prepared
591
1,288
Aligned
591
591
Invalid removed
R²(i)
98.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
591
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+99%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
591 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+99%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+99%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+93%
110 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+94%
116 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-85%
23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
697
A: 0 / B: 697
Series A
30Y Treasury Yield
DGS30
FRED · 12,297 raw → 591 prepared
Series B
Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
AAA
FRED · 1,288 raw → 1,288 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
66
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.9718
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.9628
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-aaa_fred-dgs30_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.