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Correlation Analysis

Exxon Mobil Corporation vs Block, Inc.

XOM vs XYZ

-0.312

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

XYZ logo

Block, Inc.

XYZ

Founded in 2009, Block provides payment services to merchants, along with related services. The company also launched Cash App, a person-to-person payment network. In 2024, Square's payment volume was almost USD 250 million.

Market cap 36.4B · 10,205 employees

Jan 21, 2025 — Apr 7, 2026Daily304 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: XOMGray: XYZ36 of 304 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads XYZ by 3 days

XOM tends to move before XYZ.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.320 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.137

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.673

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.430

20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

9.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

48.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

304

Robust shared window — 304 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.410, -0.207]

Scatter

XY Regression

98.6100110120130140150160170170.346.6506070809093.4Exxon Mobil CorporationBlock, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.312)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

304 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

304

Normalized

1,254

304

Prepared

1,254

304

Aligned

304

304

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

950

A: 950 / B: 0

Series A

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XYZ logo

Block, Inc.

XYZ

Market cap 36.4B · 10,205 employees

Stock · 304 raw → 304 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

15

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1877

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

89.0687

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-xom-vs-stock-xyz-daily