Correlation Analysis
Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company) vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
VMC vs XOM
+0.626
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
↗VMC
Vulcan Materials is the United States' largest producer of construction aggregates (crushed stone, sand, and gravel). Its largest markets include Texas, California, Virginia, Tennessee, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, and Alabama. In 2024, Vulcan sold 219.9 million tons of aggregates, 13.6 million tons of asphalt mix, and 3.6 million cubic yards of ready-mix. As of Dec. 31, 2024, the company had 16.5 billion tons of aggregate reserves.
Market cap 36.7B · 11,172 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
VMC and XOM tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.626 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.520
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.270
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.777
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
39.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.591, 0.658]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
VMC
Market cap 36.7B · 11,172 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
44
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3029
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
34.1107
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
Highest
+0.942
Nvidia Corp
NVDA · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.246
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-vmc-vs-stock-xom-daily