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Correlation Analysis

US Foods Holding Corp. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

USFD vs XOM

+0.649

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

USFD logo

US Foods Holding Corp.

USFD

US Foods Holding Corp is a U.S. food service distributor that distributes food and nonfood products to the healthcare and hospitality industries, restaurants, education, government facilities, and grocers. It has various customer locations across the United States, with a vast network of distribution facilities, a fleet of trucks, and cash and carry locations offering food and non-food products, and a comprehensive suite of e-commerce, technology, and business solutions to its customers. The company operates in one business segment in which it markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers throughout the U.S. The products offered are as snacks, beverages, fresh produce, sauces, condiments, canned/frozen fruits and others.

Market cap 20B · 30,000 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: USFDGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

USFD and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.649 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.748

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.041

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.660

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

42.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.616, 0.680]

Scatter

XY Regression

24406080100107.845.26080100120140160172.7US Foods Holding Corp.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.649)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

USFD logo

US Foods Holding Corp.

USFD

Market cap 20B · 30,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

23

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.8035

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

60.9049

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-usfd-vs-stock-xom-daily