Correlation Analysis
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware) vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
UNH vs WMT
-0.545
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
↗UNH
UnitedHealth Group is one of the largest private health insurers and provides medical benefits to about 51 million members globally, including 1 million outside the US as of December 2025. As a leader in employer-sponsored, self-directed, and government-backed insurance plans, UnitedHealth has obtained massive scale in medical insurance. Along with its insurance assets, UnitedHealth's Optum franchises help create a healthcare services colossus that spans everything from pharmaceutical benefits to providing outpatient care and analytics to affiliates and third parties.
Market cap 255.4B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
WMT leads UNH by 6 days
WMT tends to move before UNH.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.561 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.369
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.512
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.626
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
29.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.582, -0.504]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
UNH
Market cap 255.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
22
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1573
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
139.5393
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
UNH
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
Highest
-0.079
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.611
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-unh-vs-stock-wmt-daily