Correlation Analysis
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
TW vs XOM
+0.384
Light positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗TW
Founded in 1998 and headquartered in New York City, Tradeweb Markets is a leading fixed-income trading platform. While it does offer electronic processing for some voice-negotiated trades, the company focuses primarily on providing electronic trading networks that connect broker/dealers, institutional clients, and retail customers. While the company offers trading in a wide variety of products, the bulk of its business is in US and European government debt, mortgage-backed securities, interest-rate swaps, and US and international corporate bonds. The firm also sells fixed-income trading and price data, primarily through a deal with Refinitiv's Eikon service.
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads TW by 6 days
XOM tends to move before TW.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.387 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.025
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.778
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
14.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.336, 0.430]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
TW
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
33
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3549
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
67.1267
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.892
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.001
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-tw-vs-stock-xom-daily