Correlation Analysis
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
TW vs WMT
+0.790
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗TW
Founded in 1998 and headquartered in New York City, Tradeweb Markets is a leading fixed-income trading platform. While it does offer electronic processing for some voice-negotiated trades, the company focuses primarily on providing electronic trading networks that connect broker/dealers, institutional clients, and retail customers. While the company offers trading in a wide variety of products, the bulk of its business is in US and European government debt, mortgage-backed securities, interest-rate swaps, and US and international corporate bonds. The firm also sells fixed-income trading and price data, primarily through a deal with Refinitiv's Eikon service.
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
TW leads WMT by 6 days
TW tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.791 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.208
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.403
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
62.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.768, 0.810]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
TW
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
23
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8073
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-11.4079
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.892
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.001
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-tw-vs-stock-wmt-daily