Correlation Analysis
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
TSLA vs UPS
-0.437
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
↗TSLA
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.
Market cap 1.3T
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
↗UPS
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 22 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic US package operations generate around 65% of total revenue, while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding and contract logistics make up the remainder.
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
UPS leads TSLA by 6 days
UPS tends to move before TSLA.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.445 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.535
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.083
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.450
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
19.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.481, -0.391]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA
Market cap 1.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2066
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
211.9025
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.870
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT · 512 observations
Lowest
-0.817
Elevance Health, Inc.
ELV · 947 observations
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
Highest
-0.213
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.939
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META · 1,107 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-ups-daily-20260408-qwmxb0