Correlation Analysis
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA vs UAL
+0.746
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
↗TSLA
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.
Market cap 1.3T
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
↗UAL
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
TSLA and UAL tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.746 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.079
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.595
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.663
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
55.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.720, 0.769]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA
Market cap 1.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
UAL
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
39
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2107
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2.0035
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.870
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT · 512 data points
Lowest
-0.817
Elevance Health, Inc.
ELV · 947 data points
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.914
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.440
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-ual-daily-20260408-lrw9jb