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Correlation Analysis

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs Old Dominion Freight Line

TSLA vs ODFL

-0.038

Near-zero inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.

Market cap 1.3T

ODFL logo

Old Dominion Freight Line

ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line is the second-largest less-than-truckload carrier in the United States (following FedEx Freight), with roughly 260 service centers and 11,000-plus tractors. It is one of the most disciplined and efficient providers in the trucking industry, and its profitability and capital returns are well above those of its peers. Strategic initiatives focus on increasing network density through market-share gains and on maintaining industry-leading service (including ultralow cargo claims) through steadfast infrastructure investment.

Market cap 42.1B · 20,591 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: TSLAGray: ODFL36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

TSLA leads ODFL by 6 days

TSLA tends to move before ODFL.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.056 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.313

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.323

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.566

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.094, 0.017]

Scatter

XY Regression

110200300400500509116.6120140160180200220232.6Tesla, Inc. Common StockOld Dominion Freight LineData pointsFit (r = -0.038)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Market cap 1.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ODFL logo

Old Dominion Freight Line

ODFL

Market cap 42.1B · 20,591 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

35

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0127

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

171.2805

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-odfl-daily-20260408-3674y9