Correlation Analysis
Texas Pacific Land Corporation vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
TPL vs WMT
+0.839
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
↗TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corp is mainly engaged in the sales and leases of land owned, retaining oil and gas royalties, and the overall management of the land owned. The group operates its business in two reportable segments: Land and Resource Management and Water Service and Operations. The Land and Resource Management segment, which generates maximum revenue, focuses on managing its several surface acres of land and its oil and gas royalty interests, principally concentrated in the Permian Basin. The revenue streams of this segment consist of royalties from oil and gas, revenues from easements and commercial leases, and land and material sales. The Water Services and Operations segment encompasses the business of providing a full-service water offering to operators in the Permian Basin.
Market cap 30.9B · 114 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
WMT leads TPL by 6 days
WMT tends to move before TPL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.840 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.625
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.577
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.367
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
70.3%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
52.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.821, 0.854]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
TPL
Market cap 30.9B · 114 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1954
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
18.3660
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Highest
+0.828
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.269
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-tpl-vs-stock-wmt-daily