Correlation Analysis
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
TJX vs WMT
+0.966
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
↗TJX
Founded in 1987, TJX Companies is the world's largest off-price apparel and home fashions retailer, operating more than 5,000 stores across nine countries. In fiscal 2025, the company generated roughly $56 billion in sales. TJX operates through four segments: Marmaxx (61% of sales), HomeGoods (17%), TJX Canada (9%), and TJX international (13%). Its off-price model emphasizes branded merchandise at meaningful discounts, driving high traffic and rapid inventory turnover.
Market cap 179.1B · 377,000 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
TJX and WMT tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.966 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.270
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.194
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.553
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
93.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
63.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.963, 0.970]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
TJX
Market cap 179.1B · 377,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
43
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8129
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-11.6781
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TJX
TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
Highest
+0.967
Nvidia Corp
NVDA · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.394
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-tjx-vs-stock-wmt-daily