Correlation Analysis
Truist Financial Corporation vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
TFC vs XOM
-0.579
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Truist Financial Corporation
↗TFC
Truist Financial is one of the three super-regional banks in the US, with around $565 billion in assets as of the fourth quarter of 2025. Truist emerged from the combination of BB&T and SunTrust in 2019. Based in Charlotte, North Carolina, the bank's footprint is largely in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Apart from retail and commercial banking operations, the bank also offers online and point-of-sale consumer lending, cards, wealth management, investment banking, and other banking services.
Market cap 59.1B · 38,711 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads TFC by 6 days
XOM tends to move before TFC.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.603 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.040
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.746
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.752
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
33.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.614, -0.541]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Truist Financial Corporation
TFC
Market cap 59.1B · 38,711 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.3732
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
163.3035
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
TFC
Truist Financial Corporation
Highest
+0.329
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.393
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 data points
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-tfc-vs-stock-xom-daily