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Correlation Analysis

Steel Dynamics Inc vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

STLD vs XOM

+0.885

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

STLD logo

Steel Dynamics Inc

STLD

Steel Dynamics Inc operates as a domestic steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. The company's product portfolio comprises hot rolled sheet, hot rolled plate, painted sheet products, cold rolled sheet, and others. Its reportable segments are steel operations, metals recycling operations, steel fabrication operations, and aluminum operations. Maximum revenue is generated from its steel operations segment, which consists of manufacturing various steel products and numerous coating operations. Its primary sources of revenue are currently from the manufacture and sale of steel products, the processing and sale of recycled ferrous and nonferrous metals, and the fabrication and sale of steel joists and deck products.

Market cap 25.5B · 14,400 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: STLDGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

STLD and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.885 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.004

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.127

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.763

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

78.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

62.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.873, 0.897]

Scatter

XY Regression

39.3406080100120140160180200211.445.26080100120140160172.7Steel Dynamics IncExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.885)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

STLD logo

Steel Dynamics Inc

STLD

Market cap 25.5B · 14,400 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

37

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.5890

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

37.1292

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-stld-vs-stock-xom-daily