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Correlation Analysis

PHILLIPS 66 vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

PSX vs WMT

+0.672

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

PSX logo

PHILLIPS 66

PSX

Phillips 66 is an independent refiner that owns or holds interest in 10 refineries with a total crude throughput capacity of 2.0 million barrels per day, or mmb/d, at the end of 2025. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets. It includes 70,000 miles of crude oil, refined petroleum product, NGL and natural gas pipeline systems, and a comprehensive set of refined petroleum product, NGL and crude oil terminals, gathering and processing plants and fractionation facilities and various other storage and loading facilities. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities primarily in the United States and the Middle East and produces olefins and polyolefins.

Market cap 71.1B · 12,600 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergyConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: PSXGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

PSX and WMT tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.672 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.553

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.883

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.747

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

45.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

51.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.641, 0.702]

Scatter

XY Regression

57.76080100120140160180183.434.7406080100120140141PHILLIPS 66Walmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.672)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

PSX logo

PHILLIPS 66

PSX

Market cap 71.1B · 12,600 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

33

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6450

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-5.5593

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-psx-vs-stock-wmt-daily