Correlation Analysis
PNC Financial Services Group vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
PNC vs XOM
-0.116
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
PNC Financial Services Group
↗PNC
PNC Financial is one of the three super-regional banks in the US, with around $574 billion in total assets at the end of Dec. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, PNC Financial has a coast-to-coast branch network, with a strong presence in the US Midwest and Northeast. It closed its acquisition of FirstBank in January 2026, which added around $26 billion in assets to its balance sheet, and PNC is currently expanding in the Southern and Western regions of the US. The bank provides a diversified set of financial services in retail banking, commercial banking, card and treasury management, asset management, and investment banking. PNC derived around 38% of revenue from fee income and 62% from net interest income in 2025.
Market cap 86B · 55,333 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads PNC by 6 days
XOM tends to move before PNC.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.147 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.061
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.649
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.579
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
1.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.170, -0.061]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
PNC Financial Services Group
PNC
Market cap 86B · 55,333 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
37
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0913
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
117.1913
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
PNC
PNC Financial Services Group
Highest
+0.656
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.186
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 data points
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