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Correlation Analysis

Ovintiv Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

OVV vs XOM

+0.586

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

OVV logo

Ovintiv Inc.

OVV

Ovintiv Inc is a North American oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on developing its multi-basin portfolio of high-quality assets located in the United States and Canada. Its operations also include the marketing of oil, NGLs, and natural gas. The company has two operating segments: USA Operations and Canadian Operations. USA Operations include the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil, NGLs, natural gas, and other related activities within the United States. Canadian Operations include the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil, NGLs, natural gas, and other related activities within Canada. The company generates the majority of its revenue from USA Operations.

Market cap 16.8B · 1,465 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: OVVGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

OVV and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.586 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.528

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.489

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.533

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

34.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

77.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.549, 0.621]

Scatter

XY Regression

20.93040506063.745.26080100120140160172.7Ovintiv Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.586)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

OVV logo

Ovintiv Inc.

OVV

Market cap 16.8B · 1,465 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.6953

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

29.7642

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-ovv-vs-stock-xom-daily